Report: The Potential Impact of Changes in Immigration Policy on U.S. Ag and Hired Farm Labor
Story Date: 6/25/2012

 
Source: USDA ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE, 6/22/12

Abstract
Large shifts in the supply of foreign-born, hired farm labor resulting from substantial changes in U.S. immigration laws or policies could have signifi cant economic implications.

A computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of the U.S. economy is used to evaluate how changes in the supply of foreign-born labor might affect all sectors of the economy, including agriculture. Two scenarios are considered: an increase in the number of temporary nonimmigrant, foreign-born farmworkers, such as those admitted under the H-2A Temporary Agricultural Program, and a decrease in the number of unauthorized workers in all sectors of the economy. Longrun economic outcomes for agricultural output and exports, wages and employment levels, and national income accruing to U.S.-born and foreignborn, permanent resident workers in these two scenarios are compared with a base forecast
reflecting current immigration laws and policies.

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